Bear Markets Explained: 4 Characteristics of a Bear Market
Written by MasterClass
Last updated: Oct 12, 2022 • 2 min read
Financial markets rise and fall over the course of economic cycles. When prices fall continuously over a period of time, the phenomenon is described as a bear market.
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What Is a Bear Market?
A bear market is a sustained downturn in a financial market such as the stock market. On Wall Street, home to markets like the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ, bear market territory is traditionally marked by a 20 percent downturn in stock prices over a two-month period. This is not to be confused with a market correction, which is a short-term price decline rather than a sustained downward trend.
The opposite of a bear market is a bull market, which involves steady growth in market values. Long-term bull markets, sometimes called secular bull markets, can result in all-time high stock prices. High stock prices can cause an overheated market, which can lead to a sell-off of stocks, prompting a bear market.
Cyclical vs. Secular Bear Markets: What’s the Difference?
There are two principle types of bear markets: cyclical and secular. A cyclical bear market is a short-term bear market that periodically occurs due to normal market volatility and lasts for months. A secular bear market covers a multi-year period (typically 10 to 20 years) wherein market prices underperform their average gains.
What Is a Bear Market Rally?
During a secular bear market, a bear market rally may occur that makes it seem as though prices are rebounding when, in fact, they are serving as a correction to a still-declining market. An infamous bear market rally occurred shortly after the stock market crash of 1929. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) briefly rallied, causing investors to believe a new bull market had begun. In fact, the rally was just a correction, and stocks sank again toward a new market bottom; this helped set off the Great Depression.
4 Characteristics of a Bear Market
A few recurring characteristics define bear markets.
- 1. Diminished investor confidence: Financial markets tend to produce self-fulfilling results. When investors lack confidence in a market, they pull their funds, which causes the market to further depress.
- 2. Fluctuating interest rates: Interest rates set by central banks can stimulate an economy and regulate inflation. When interest rates rise too rapidly, bond markets thrive, but stock markets may enter bear territory.
- 3. A rise in short selling: In bear markets, professional investors may resort to short selling, puts, and inverse exchange-traded funds (ETFs). All of these financial maneuvers involve a bet that the stock market will continue to go down. Short selling is risky for individual investors, and it can further tank declining markets.
- 4. A decline in IPOs: An initial public offering (IPO) happens when a private company decides to become publicly traded on a stock exchange. In a bear market, going public can lead to diminished company value. Businesses may opt to remain private until a bear market transitions back into a bull market.
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